been awhile since i posted here...i should wait for the major leagues of europe to start but i have some CL plays so i figure now is a good time to start posting. I will say my CL picks have been poor so far this year and in general i do much better in leauge play. I think my major fault is in believing in leagues more than teams ... as shown in the picks below....GL
FC Zürich v Standard de Liège
over 2.5 goals +100 - 1.00 to win 1 unit
first leg ended 1-1 and i wouldn't be surprised if this score also ends 1-1...both to score pays -137 which i think is a surprise but i know isn't readily available to US customers. Both are capable of scoring and Zurich is a very good home over bet. We might need a lucky goal to win but either side could win and i do think we will see a typical 2-1 1-2 game. But fear the 1-1 draw for sure....
Sturm Graz v FC Zestafoni
Sturm Graz +1 +115 -0.85 to win 1 unit
i do get caught favouring austrian/swiss, sides over the eastern europe leagues in the CL/Europa but Strum Graz really should be a -1.25 favour imo so the -1 has some value. The -0.75 is probably the better bet but i never mind pushing in soccer....Zestafoni is a decent team but they did struggle in the group stages on the road in the Europa last season and lost 2-0 to Dacia in the CL this year (they were up 3-0 from the first leg though) But Banska Bystrica and Karpaty Lviv both won their Europa home games and Faetano drew them...so not very impressive....0-0 would work for Sturm but that really isnt their game and should attack from the start...if they get that early goal it could be lights out quickly 3-0 4-0...maybe push but hard not to back an Austrian side vs Georgian..
Slovan Bratislava v APOEL
Slovan Bratislava DNB aka pick +104 - 0.96 to win 1 unit
i think APOEL blew their chances with a 0-0 home game...Bratislava will be nervous for not coming away with a road goal but any advatage of playing in high temps. is lost and Bratislava will be tough. 3 league games will definitely be a plus for bratislava and have already beat Senica at home in league play. More game ready, home pitch and a missed oppertunity for APOEL leads me to believe in the home side...money back on a draw works for me too.
Wisla Kraków v Litex Lovech
over 2.5 goals +100 - 1.00 to win 1 unit
hosts are up 2-1 after the first leg which will force Litex to play an open game. I think that suits Wisla just find and should create great counterattcking chances...i think litex will sneak a goal but forcing the play will cause them to conceed 2 or 3. The home win just doesn't pay enough to bet ... a draw would be enough for them...but i see good value in 3 goals....3-1 i think.
Malmo v Rangers
Rangers 0, -0.5 +104 - 0.96 to win 1 unit
although it is the 1st game on tap for me i put it last because i think i am wrong...but i have to believe a top Scottish team (being 1/2 scottish) has to be capable of beating a current middle of the table Swedish side...I watched the Rangers weekend league match and that team looked 10 times better than the CL team. I could be way off but there is always less pressure away from home and perhaps the pressure will get to the home side....they will be well rested as the Malmo match was called off after 11 mins due to firecrackers being chucked onto the field...0-2 rangers but i have a bit of a bias and 1-0 0-0 wouldn't surprise me in the end.
FC Zürich v Standard de Liège
over 2.5 goals +100 - 1.00 to win 1 unit
first leg ended 1-1 and i wouldn't be surprised if this score also ends 1-1...both to score pays -137 which i think is a surprise but i know isn't readily available to US customers. Both are capable of scoring and Zurich is a very good home over bet. We might need a lucky goal to win but either side could win and i do think we will see a typical 2-1 1-2 game. But fear the 1-1 draw for sure....
Sturm Graz v FC Zestafoni
Sturm Graz +1 +115 -0.85 to win 1 unit
i do get caught favouring austrian/swiss, sides over the eastern europe leagues in the CL/Europa but Strum Graz really should be a -1.25 favour imo so the -1 has some value. The -0.75 is probably the better bet but i never mind pushing in soccer....Zestafoni is a decent team but they did struggle in the group stages on the road in the Europa last season and lost 2-0 to Dacia in the CL this year (they were up 3-0 from the first leg though) But Banska Bystrica and Karpaty Lviv both won their Europa home games and Faetano drew them...so not very impressive....0-0 would work for Sturm but that really isnt their game and should attack from the start...if they get that early goal it could be lights out quickly 3-0 4-0...maybe push but hard not to back an Austrian side vs Georgian..
Slovan Bratislava v APOEL
Slovan Bratislava DNB aka pick +104 - 0.96 to win 1 unit
i think APOEL blew their chances with a 0-0 home game...Bratislava will be nervous for not coming away with a road goal but any advatage of playing in high temps. is lost and Bratislava will be tough. 3 league games will definitely be a plus for bratislava and have already beat Senica at home in league play. More game ready, home pitch and a missed oppertunity for APOEL leads me to believe in the home side...money back on a draw works for me too.
Wisla Kraków v Litex Lovech
over 2.5 goals +100 - 1.00 to win 1 unit
hosts are up 2-1 after the first leg which will force Litex to play an open game. I think that suits Wisla just find and should create great counterattcking chances...i think litex will sneak a goal but forcing the play will cause them to conceed 2 or 3. The home win just doesn't pay enough to bet ... a draw would be enough for them...but i see good value in 3 goals....3-1 i think.
Malmo v Rangers
Rangers 0, -0.5 +104 - 0.96 to win 1 unit
although it is the 1st game on tap for me i put it last because i think i am wrong...but i have to believe a top Scottish team (being 1/2 scottish) has to be capable of beating a current middle of the table Swedish side...I watched the Rangers weekend league match and that team looked 10 times better than the CL team. I could be way off but there is always less pressure away from home and perhaps the pressure will get to the home side....they will be well rested as the Malmo match was called off after 11 mins due to firecrackers being chucked onto the field...0-2 rangers but i have a bit of a bias and 1-0 0-0 wouldn't surprise me in the end.
